"Expect a mild winter, with above-normal temperatures and rainfall but less snow than average. November will be cool. Mild, sometimes warmer-than-average temperatures will prevail from late November until late December. Expect cold temperatures from late December through mid-January, when Canadian air masses will dominate. Snow flurries will occur during this period, with big snowstorms unlikely. Expect the coldest weather in the second week of January, followed by a brief thaw. Then, but for a few more cold days, winter will essentially be over."
Now that's depressing!
I just read that Snoeshoe has moved it's opening date to Dec. 14th, so has anyone got a guess as to when Liberty and Whitetail are opening? New Year's!??? @#$%^&*!!! What's been the worst case (i.e. latest opening date) in recent history? Do you know this, Scott?
I am on my way to Hawaii and I may even try to ski there... Perhaps I can carry the warm weather with me and leave it there.
Think Snow. Massive quantities.
The 1996-1997 winter season was particularly bad. DCSki provided a look back at that season (complete with a picture of a cactus and desert - so you just know what the mood was like then) at:
(This is a very old page, with one of the first layouts a young DCSki used. But you can still make out the text.)
In 1997, resorts such as Roundtop grabbed an early opening date, but then almost immediately closed during a "Thanksgiving thaw". They didn't re-open until mid- to late-December.
But by early January, resorts were closing again. (Ahh, El Nino, how we loved thee.)
A DCSki article titled "The metldown continues: other area resorts misplace snow" pretty much summed it up:
The rest of that season consisted of wild temperature swings that caused many resorts to close in mid-season until temperatures dropped again. A real roller coaster ride.
In the 1998-99 season, things got off to a slow start. Resorts like Whitetail didn't open until late December:
Warm weather made an unwelcome return in January '99, once again messing up snow bases.
A nice snow storm flew in on March 15, 1999, but then temperatures climbed into the 50's two days later. (But man, was the skiing great on March 16.)
Moving on to the fall of '99, it was once again a shaky start to the season. A handful of resorts opened in early December, but then, warm weather returned, and silenced the snowguns until late December. Liberty, Roundtop, and Whitetail didn't open until late December.
Things were very good last season, with most resorts capturing early December opening dates. But as we can see, last season was more the exception than the rule. At least through several recent seasons that were under El Nino's grip, the season didn't start kicking until early January.
However, there are several resorts that usually open well before others: Snowshoe, Wisp, and Seven Springs, to name three. Even in bad years, some of these resorts have managed to snag November opening dates. (And in the midst of El Nino, Snowshoe actually fared much better than other resorts, due to its location.) So it's somewhat unusual that *no* resorts have been able to open yet.
So that's some recent history, straight from the archives of DCSki.
Perhaps with last season fresh in our minds, it seems like the season is off to a slow start. But it will arrive - and if we're going to have mild temperatures this winter, I'd rather have them up front instead of showing up randomly in the middle of the season, as they do so frequently.
My advice: get out and enjoy the weather for a few more biking or hiking trips. Make sure the skis are tuned up. Wash the car and then put the ski rack on. Oh, and visit DCSki every day (heck, *multiple* times a day!) of course!
Hey! They're opening up the pool!
jay peak is pretty close to the border. i think they measure the snow in centimeters, then report it as inches. but if you want beer i am sure they can get you hooked up.