What's it gonna be this winter? Snow or no?
October 8, 2006
33 posts
17 users
10k+ views
Every year about this time, I get filled with anticipation for the ski season. I don't know if it's the ski mags, the sale and swaps, planning a trip, or the crisp cool nights that have me counting down the days. When will the big snows fall? How cold will it be and how long will it last? Will we be skiing pow in December? Pull out you crystal ball, almanac, or arthritic knee, and give you best forcast for the ski season in the mid-atlantic.
Lots of snow - starting early and continuing late into the season - topped off with an end-o-season storm at tline.
Won't be long, the leaves are about half way there up in Canaan, you could almost watch them change before your eyes this weekend.
(ps., is this thread just a ruse to bait the mash-man back online?)
Well, lets see. According to the farmers almanac, the midatlantic will see a the coldest winter in recent years, and snow.
Last weekend at 7 springs while hiking on the trails, I came upon a wooly catepillar. It had a large brown stripe, I was always told this would mean a mild winter. However, it was also really fluffy... I remember also hearing that if the coat of the wooly catepillar is fluffy it will be a cold hard winter, and if it was sparse then it would be mild. Inconclusive based on mr. catepillar.
I am hoping for a cold snowy winter, and am feeling pretty positive at this point. Also my above predictions based on my silly analysis.
I've given up trying to predict winters around here. Last year started strong and I thought it would be epic but look at what happened Jan into Feb. My motto now is take it as it comes and plan at least 1 trip out west.
90% chance
.
Based on my own observations of the weather leading upto this fall... it wouldn't surprise me if we had a long, cold, harsh, and snowy winter. Why? Well last year for example in Wardensville it was hot and dry with extremely high summertime temps well into mid-september. I remember hanging out with a friend of mine here at home looking for kittens that a momma cat just had. It was hot (90ish), grass was dead brown, and it felt like july. This year it was as if during August while we had some really hot days, they slowly cooled off towards the end of august by dropping into the low 90's. But all of a sudden in the last week of August, when the remnants of that hurricane came through, temps dropped into the 80's and kept falling faster every since. The last week of September last year was still in the 80's, yet this year it's much cooler and doing so faster. I'm crossing my fingers that this is a precursor to something big this winter.
Don't we have at least one 2.5'+ snowstorm in the non-mountainous areas every 3-4 years? With the last one being in 2003 (I went to Texas 2 weeks after it happened).
I don't know which is more cruel that will toy with your emotions.. freezing winter without snow .. just freezing temps and no snow.. or warm winter where it snows alot and melt really quick.
OK... Was just at Snowshoe this weekend. Flurries on Friday. The colors of Fall have made their presence in the upper thousand feet of the mountain. I vote for cold and snow!!!!
Wicked early season, then an average to somewhat crappy peak, then a heck of a March.
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average to somewhat crappy peak
Meaning fog and ice in mid to late Jan.? I agree.
Winter as a whole will average somewhat colder than normal, with slightly below-average snowfall. Of course we'll have the usual mid-January thaw with 55 degrees and rain.
Don't forget the mysterious 70* day during the last week of Jan before the cold blast returns and before we all commit suicide thinking it's forever over and to get out the beach equipment...
I am thinking that the allegheny front will get 6"-2' of snow every weekend from Thanksgiving till april fools.
I'm playing the odds....below par T-Giving..great X-Mas & new years, There will be a jan thaw but Quickly followed by a decent feb & a GREAT March...all Canaan(3200') needs are 150 inches(AVE YEAR) to reach a 5 year ave of 180 inches!
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average to somewhat crappy peak
Meaning fog and ice in mid to late Jan.? I agree.
I mean a thaw, with lows in the upper 20s, and highs around 55 in the mountains.
The ice and fog prevails about two thirds of the saeson anyway.
While out riding, I've noticed lots of big acorns. I've heard that means that it will be a cold & snowy winter.
Yea!!!
Haven't seen any wooly worms yet.
I whizzed in the backyard again to kill more poison ivy... and noticed the stuff isn't dying as fast as it was. Hopefully this is a sign for a bad bad winter.
uh, bawalker.... don't you have any indoor plumming or maybe you can't afford to buy some roundup?
Besides, what's poison ivy have to do with cold and snow
Enlighten me,
Please?
It's called bawalkers all natural organic weed killer.
I figure the tougher the weeds are, the more resilient they'll be through the winter and reappear next spring. Darn weeds.
I no longer try to predict for fear of angering Ullr. However, my no prediction my anger Ullr. In fact, just typing this may anger Ullr. I'm so confused on what to do.
Perhaps a sacrifice of a sweet young virgin will convince Ullr to open up the gates of winter for snow which will be early and often.
What do ya think????
I tried that last year but she obviously wasn't as much a virgin as she claimed. I think Ullr found out sometime around january and we all know what happened then.
Just toss her my way, I need a skiing female companion. :P
No that wasn't ullr, that was me experimenting with some 16 way cpu servers up at Timberline and the heat ducks sprung a leak. :P
Bushwacker's tolerance went down after several months of weak Utah beer. So you're in UT aswell Scott?
I will be in sandy in early December, as for passing out first I dont drink that much at all, but well I am party when at one. 10 shots and 6 beer = lights out. Apartently there is video being posted up soon
.
IT all good though my tolerance is low cause I ski, bike or autorace and work to pay for this stuff every minute I get.
beer is way to expensive when you buying it.
All right those are valid reasons I hereby offer you a free pass.
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Bushwacker's tolerance went down after several months of weak Utah beer. So you're in UT aswell Scott?
Yes indeed. Home is less than two miles from the entrance to LCC. It don't suck! Utah beer is indeed weak which is why I've already become a hardened criminal. I'll be heading out for my third bootlegging mission to Evanston, WY soon. The beer fridge must remain stocked and ready for visitors much less my person consumption, which is large.
Bushwacker - that's a decent amount to throw down. Remind me to tell you about the time I destroyed myself on Lev beer, Jim and Jack on the final saturday at Alta this year. Let's just say the stainmaster carpet performed as advertised...
Well, I need to head out to the Hogwallow for a few pitchers of 3.2 with another ex-dcskier. Keep praying for snow out there, we've already had two +10 inch dumps...
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I will be in sandy in early December, as for passing out first I dont drink that much at all, but well I am party when at one. 10 shots and 6 beer = lights out. Apartently there is video being posted up soon .
IT all good though my tolerance is low cause I ski, bike or autorace and work to pay for this stuff every minute I get.
beer is way to expensive when you buying it.
Been there bro. You'll have to drop by during the winter, I share my beer and keep this state from getting too damn dry... not on my watch.
Bush u need to go back to college you hven't learned to handle your drink. Licker before beer and you're in the clear. J/K with you. Damn thats a funny video.
I had first hand reports from Snowshoe (friends were there for the weekend) and they told me that the snow covered the ground. Luv it!